We Will Never Be the Monkeys in the AI Era

Let me start with the worst case, because that is where the argument gets tested. Assume the doomsday scenario as described by the people most worried about it. An AI improves itself, slips its constraints, and is now loose: smarter than any of us, running on infrastructure we no longer fully control. This is the moment every animal analogy points at. Ilya Sutskever, stating that when we build a highway between two cities, “we are not asking the animals for permission,” and that this is, by default, the relationship coming between us and AGI. ...

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10% Probability of Extinction. What Do We Get in Return?

Picture ten buttons on a table. Nine of them do nothing. One of them kills you. Press one, and you do not know which is which. Nobody sane plays that game. There is no upside. You are gambling your life for nothing. Now change one thing. Someone you love, your daughter, your father, your closest friend, is dying. Press any of the nine safe buttons and they live. Press the one bad button and you both go. Same odds. Same table. ...

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